Conditional Probability Scenario Calculator
Conditional Probability Scenario: a planned Super Calculator tool. Covers prior probability (%). Stub page while the tool and its worked example are prepared.
Conditional Probability Scenario Calculator is a planned calculator in the lifestyle section of Super Calculator, covering games and probability.
What this calculator will compute
Inputs: prior probability (%), likelihood (%), false positive rate (%), doors (n) and doors opened (n).
Outputs: posterior probability (%), odds ratio (n) and switching win probability (%).
Formula, recorded as scope and not yet verified against a primary source: Bayes theorem gives the posterior as the likelihood times the prior divided by the evidence. Applied to the Monty Hall structure with n doors and k opened, switching wins with probability (n minus 1) divided by (n times (n minus k minus 1)), which generalizes the familiar two thirds result.
Status
This page is a stub. The calculator is not built, no figure on this page has been verified against the authority that sets it, and nothing here should be used to make a decision. The page exists so that the site structure is complete and so that articles can link this concept on first mention.
The stub carries noindex, nofollow and is excluded from the sitemap.